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Scientific journal “Vestnik NSUEM”

2016 year, number 1

1.
DEMOGRAPHIC SECURITY OF THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT REGIONS: ESTIMATION OF RISKS

S.V. Soboleva, N.E. Smirnova, O.V. Chudaeva
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of SB RAS, Academician Lavrentyev Ave., 17, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: воспроизводство населения, демографическая безопасность, депопуляция, индикаторы демографических угроз, интегральный показатель демографической безопасности список литературы, demographic security, depopulation, indicators of demographic threats, integral indicator of demographic security, population reproduction

Abstract >>
The article examines the methodological approach to the analysis of the demographic situation dynamics on several indicators for multiple territorial objects, allowing evaluating each territory according to the degree of the demographic situation tension in general. For this type of analysis several indicators of demographic threats has been selected, on which the dynamics for all regions of the Siberian Federal district (SFD) on the background of the all-Russian tendencies has been presented. The integral indicator of demographic security is also used (IIDS). Comparing the dynamics of IIDS for all subjects of the SFD three groups of regions in terms of demographic security in 1990-2013 are selected. It is shown that almost all regions with low demographic security are border territories of the Russian Federation, having the state borders with Kazakhstan, Mongolia and China.
																								



2.
MEASUREMENT OF DISABILITY AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATUS OF DISABLED: THE RUSSIAN AND INTERNATIONAL APPROACHES

A.Ya. Burdyak, A.O. Tyndik
Institute for Social Analysis and Prediction of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Prospect Vernadskogo, 82/5, Moscow, 119571, Russia
Keywords: инвалидность, статистика инвалидности, Конвенция о правах инвалидов, положение инвалидов, социологические данные, disability, disability statistics, Convention on the rights of persons with disabilities, loneliness

Abstract >>
Socio-economic status of persons with disabilities in Russia is considered in accordance with the UN Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities. The comparative analysis of Russian and international definitions of disability is made by sociological survey method. It is shown that the extension of disability concept would increase number of disabled people by half. Gender-age structure of this group of population would be changed as well. Status of persons with disabilities is studied in the context of labour market participation. Their opinion on infrastructure issues and satisfaction by the state support are described.
																								



3.
OPTIONS TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIA'S ECONOMY

E.V. Lukin
Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of RAS, Gorkiy Str., 56 a, Vologda, 160014 , Russia
Keywords: технологическое развитие, цепочки добавленной стоимости, мультипликатор добавленной стоимости, внутренний инвестиционный потенциал, Technological development, value chain, value added multiplier, domestic investment potential

Abstract >>
In the article the necessity of large-scale technological modernization of the Russian economy and strengthen the integration of the mining and manufacturing sectors of the economy. Disclosed existing conditions of management of enterprises, characterized by a significant dependence on the external environment. The conclusion about ineffective regulation of social reproduction and the directions of its improvement, the key of which is the integration of the mining and manufacturing sectors of the national economy due to the vertical integration of production and technological processing of natural resources in high technology products final consumption.
																								



4.
THE CONCEPT OF SHARED VALUES IN THE PARADIGM OF ECONOMIC SCIENCE

T.N. Rogova
Ulyanovsk State Technical University, Severny Venetz str.,32 , Ulyanovsk, 432027 , Russia
Keywords: концепция общих ценностей, региональная экономика, конкуренция, прибыль, устойчивое развитие, региональная социально-экономическая система, the concept of shared values, regional economy, competition, profit, sustainable development, regional socio-economic system

Abstract >>
The achievement of the strategic objectives of the regional economy, namely, to ensure long-term sustainable development and growth, and improve the level and quality of life of the population, is only possible when the transformation of available approaches to the implementation of economic activities. The use of the concept of shared values, involving the interaction of business and society, at the level of the regional economy contributes to its transition from an industrial oriented script development to innovation. The aim of this work is to validate the application of the concept of shared values in regional socio-economic system.
																								



5.
FACTORS OF THE INNOVATION POTENTIAL OF AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES

M.F. Tyapkina, I.O. Vlasova
Irkutsk State Agrarian University named after Ezhevksiy, pos. Molodezny, Irkutsk region, 664038, Russia
Keywords: инновационный потенциал, инновации в сельском хозяйстве, инновационная деятельность, innovation potential, Innovation in agriculture, innovative activities

Abstract >>
The paper presents the current classification of factors affecting the innovation potential of the enterprise. There is considered a relationship of internal and external factors. Specific sectorial and regional factors influencing innovation in agriculture are defined. From the viewpoint of consideration of potential as a opportunities the correlation of factors affecting the possibilities of agricultural enterprises to innovate and the components of its economic potential is defined. The priority of internal factors influencing the innovation potential of the agricultural enterprise is justified. There is presented the author’s classification of factors influencing innovation in agriculture.
																								



6.
INFORMATION SUPPORT OF THE FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING SYSTEM IN HIGH SCHOOL

E.E. Alekseev
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56, Novosibirsk, 630099, Russia
Keywords: система финансового управленческого учета вуза, управленческий учет в вузе, финансы вуза, бюджетирование, источники данных для финансового управленческого учета, децентрализация финансов, иерархичность бюджетов вуза, system of financial management accounting of the university, management accounting in the university, university finances, budgeting, data sources for the financial management accounting, decentralization of finance, hierarchical university budgets

Abstract >>
The report focuses on the discussion of content, information, and statistical aspects of the formation of the financial management accounting system (FAS) in institutions of higher education in Russia. The basic principles, goals, objectives, primary data sources, analytical sections, tools for constructing the financial management accounting and formulated in particular the introduction of a system of financial management accounting are considered on the example of a particular university. The author suggested that the technology of building the financial structure of the organization, to build a hierarchy of budgets of departments and services, he outlined the priorities of the program of domestic investment.
																								



7.
DIVIDEND POLICY OF RUSSIAN PARTIALLY STATE-OWNED STOCK COMPANIES: THE FORMATIOM AND SPECIAL FEATURES

O.S. Belomyttseva, D.G. Antonyan
National Research Tomsk State University, Lenin ave., 36 , Tomsk, 634060 , Russia
Keywords: дивиденды, дивидендная политика, акционерные общества с государственным участием, норматив дивидендных выплат, dividends, dividend policy, partially state-owned stock companies, dividend payout ratio

Abstract >>
In this paper the authors determine the role of dividend policy of partially state-owned stock companies as being of strategic importance for the Russian stock market. Special features of the dividend policy of partially state-owned stock companies are also considered. The author analyzes the issues of introducing a dividend payout ratio in partially state-owned stock companies. Some approaches to improving the quality of control over the dividend policy of state-owned stock companies.
																								



8.
THE MANIPULATION INDEX: PROBLEMS OF APLICTABILITY TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS OF RUSSIAN CONPANIES

M.A. Alekseev
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: дефолт по облигациям, индекс манипулирования финансовой отчетностью, bonds default, manipulation index (M-score)

Abstract >>
Beneish manipulation index (M-score) allows with a sufficient degree of reliability to identify the companies who deliberately misrepresented its financial performance in order to make a financial statement more attractive for external users. The parameters of the manipulation index have been developed and investigated on the basis of financial data of companies operating in the jurisdiction of the United States. The applicability of this index as the analytical tool for the analysis of financial statements prepared in accordance with Russian accounting standards remains questionable. As the object of the study was chosen the financial statements of Russian companies have committed defaults on its bonds. The test sample was analyzed with a help of Beneish’s approach to detect earnings manipulation.
																								



9.
EVALUATION OF INVESTMENTS IN FIXED CAPITAL THROUGH STOCK MARKET TOOLS

S.D. Ageeva
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the Siberian Branch of the RAS, Academician Lavrentyev ave., 17, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: инвестиции в основной капитал, облигации, фондовый рынок, IPO, investment in fixed assets, bonds, stock market, IPO

Abstract >>
Currently, there is no statistics that would help to determine the cumulative effect/contribution of stock market tools to the total investment in fixed capital. In order to study the effect of stock market tools on investment activities in the country there is information on the volume of corporate and state companies bond issues as well as the initial (IPO) and secondary (SPO) floatation on the national and international financial markets. This information is stored in the Central Bank as the supervisory authority, in the NGO «National Settlement Depository» (NSD), which in 2012 received the status of a central depository, in the self-regulatory National Association of Securities Market Participants (NAUFOR). The volume of investments that are involved in the economy through stock market tools depends on the factors that determine the institutional conditions for the market functioning.
																								



10.
INFORMATION FUNCTION "CASH FLOW STATEMENT" AND THE PROBLEM OF THE FORMATION OF ITS INDICATORS

A.V. Yatsuk, V.V. Ostapova
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56, Novosibirsk, 630099, Russia
Keywords: бухгалтерская (финансовая) отчетность, информация, отчет о движении денежных средств, показатели отчетности, свернутый денежный поток, accounting (financial) statements, information, cash flow statement, reporting indicators, folded cash flow

Abstract >>
The information value of report «Cash flow statement» is disclosed in the article, the possibility and expediency of applying the algorithm of forming folded cash flow on value-added tax in the «Cash flow statement» are substantiated.
																								



11.
INTERBRANCH ANALYSIS OF THE NOVOSIBIRSK REGION ECONOMY

A.B. Kogan
Novosibirsk State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Leningradskaya str., 113, Novosibirsk, 630008, Russia
Keywords: Эффективность инвестиций, межотраслевые модели, cost-benefit analysis, Financial and economical efficiency, input-output models

Abstract >>
State support of investment projects is facing problems of evaluation of their economical efficiency, the order of which is not described sufficiently both in theory and in methods. The economical efficiency of investment in the Novosibirsk’s waterpark is estimated in the article. The estimation is based on input-output model of the Novosibirsk region, developed in 2014, according to statistical reports of companies. This example illustrates the method proposed by the author of this work, and the problems of economical efficiency estimating and the problems of state support of investment projects.
																								



12.
QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS OF POPULATION HEALTH OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

D. A. Borzykh
National Research University Higher School of Economics, Myasnitskaya str., 20, Moscow, 101000, Russia
Keywords: регионы России, здоровье населения, композитный индекс, выборочная функция распределения, стохастическое доминирование второго порядка, кластеризация, Russian regions, population health, the composite index, sample distribution function, second-order stochastic dominance, clustering

Abstract >>
The article provides an analysis of the dynamics of the level of health of the Russian population. The level of population health is understood as a composite index constructed on the basis of life expectancy index and morbidity index. We use regional data of the period 2005-2013. In the article a method of measuring the health of the population not for a given region, but for the county population as a whole, is proposed. Also the technique for identification of dynamics of health of the Russian population is given. This technique is based on the principle of stochastic dominance of second order for sample distribution functions of index of population health for regions. In addition, a method of partitioning regions of Russia into clusters, consisting of similar regions on the dynamics of health, is given. The proposed approaches can be used to monitor the health of the population in order to: 1) determine the dynamics of the level of health of the Russian population in the whole country, 2) identify regions with low levels of health that need support.
																								



13.
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF TERRITORIAL DIFFERENCES BASED ON THE USE OF NONPARAMETRIC METHODS

E.M. Polyakova
Rostov state University of Economics, Bolshaya Sadovaya str., 69, Rostov-on-Don, 344002, Russia
Keywords: непараметрические методы, рейтинг, оценка, анализ, информационные ресурсы, регион, сфера деятельности, территориальные различия, nonparametric methods, rating, evaluation, analysis, information resources, region, scope, territorial differences

Abstract >>
The article substantiates the use of nonparametric methods of statistical analysis and evaluation of territorial disparities on the basis of official regional information resources of subjects of the South of Russia, characterizing the state and development of priority spheres of activity. Reflect a systematic approach to the analysis and evaluation of territorial differences. To this end carried out the formation of five information blocks on priority directions of development, which are the basis of calculation of the generalized rating estimation in dynamics for four years. The obtained analytical results allow to assess the level of development of the priority sectors in the regions, highlighting the different degree of development, both for individual fields and for individual regions.
																								



14.
ASSESSING THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FORMATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL CLUSTERS BASED ON THE FUZZY SETS THEORY

O.A. Silich
Novosibirsk State University of Architecture and Construction, Leningradskaya str., 113, Novosibirsk, 630008, Russia
Keywords: Кластер, кластерная политика, регион, идентификация кластеров, потенциал формирования и развития кластеров, нечёткое множество, лингвистическая переменная, приближённые рассуждения, cluster, Cluster policy, region, identification of clusters, the potential for the formation and development of clusters, fuzzy set, linguistic variable, approximate reasoning

Abstract >>
Describes the main features of clusters, given a system of factors that affect the process of formation and development of clusters in the region. The proposed method of assessing the potential for the formation and development of clusters, which involves carrying out a systematic analysis of conditions in the region in terms of their favorability for clusters. The proposed method is based on the use of terminology and mathematical apparatus of fuzzy set theory, allows to obtain a qualitative and quantitative assessment of the potential for the formation and development of the cluster in the region.
																								



15.
INTERNAL CROWDSOURCING: AN ATTEMPT AT ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC AND ORGANIZATIONAL NATURE

I.D. Kotlyarov
National Research University Higher School of Economics, Kantemirovskaya str., 3, Saint Petersburg, Russia
Keywords: нестандартные формы занятости, внутренний краудсорсинг, отчуждение, эксплуатация, atypical employment, internal crowdsourcing, alienation, exploitation

Abstract >>
Despite the popularity of internal crowdsourcing as a tool of increase of effectiveness of personnel, it has not benn analyzed from the point of view of economic theory. Neither was it placed within the system of tools of mobilization of personnel for non-routine tasks. The present paper contains an analysis of internal crowdsourcing from the point of view of Marxist political economy. It is demonstrated that internal crowdsourcing hides alienation of labor instead of elimination it, and contributes to increase of exploitation of employees. A comparative analysis of internal crowdsourcing and other forms of personnel use with predominantly non-material compensation is made
																								



16.
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AS AN EFFECTIVE MECHANISM FORMATION OF CONTINUOUS TRAINING AND STAFF DEVELOPMENT IN THE ORGANIZATION

I.P. Malichenko
Southern Federal University, Bolshaya Sadovaya str., 105/42, Rostov-on-Don, 344006, Russia
Keywords: непрерывное обучение и развитие персонала, управление знаниями, самообучающаяся организация, научающаяся организация, экономика знаний, поглощающая способность компании, интеллектуальная компания, интеллектуальный капитал, корпоративный университет, continuous training and development, knowledge management, learning organization, knowledge economy, the absorption capacity of the company, intelligent company, intellectual capital, corporate university

Abstract >>
Modern socio-economic system of the Russian Federation requires a major upgrade by strengthening intellectual and innovative components of commercial activity of economic agents, which will contribute to the development of business entities as well as the national interests of adaptation to globalization processes «knowledge economy». The article presents a systematic view of the formation of a continuous system of training and development opportunities using modern knowledge management and other cognitive mechanisms to facilitate the modeling of common cultural and professional competencies that meet the current and strategic needs of business, society and the state.
																								



17.
USE OF INFORMATION AND ANALYTICAL SYSTEM OF MONITORING LABOUR POTENTIAL OF TERRITORIES FOR REGULATING LABOR BEHAVIOR OF POPULATION

A. V. Popov
Institute of Social and Economic Development of Territories RAS, Gorky str., 56a, Vologda, 160014, Russia
Keywords: трудовой потенциал, информационно-аналитическая система, мониторинг, трудовое поведение, управление, labor potential, information-analytical system, monitoring, labor behavior, management

Abstract >>
The competitiveness of the economy and Russia’s transition to the innovative path of development is largely dependent on the availability of a sufficient number of high-quality workforce. Concerning this the urgent task is to assess the state of the labor potential of the territory in the monitoring mode. On the basis of the author’s methodology for assessing labor potential, which includes analysis of both qualitative and quantitative aspects, the information-analytical system of labor potential monitoring is suggested. The developed system consists of a database and analytical part, which allows considering labor potential and its individual components from a perspective of the Russian regions. As an example of the system performance the study presents the results of the Russian regions grouping by quantitative and qualitative aspects of labor potential basing on data for 2013, which provides an opportunity to identify the benefits and problems of a specific area in order to develop and implement effective policies in the field of social and labor relations.
																								



18.
INFORMATION SUPPORT OF RESEARCH CAREER MANAGEMENT IN THE MARKET OF RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE

V.P. Neganova1, I.A. Schmidt2
1Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow str., 29 , Ekaterinburg, 620014 , Russia
2Siberian University of Consumer Cooperatives, Karl Marx ave., 26 , Novosibirsk , 630087 , Russia
Keywords: управление, продвижение, исследование управления, бенчмаркинг, жилая недвижимость, коммуникационная среда, маркетинговые исследования, management, promotion, research management, benchmarking, residential real estate, communication environment, marketing research

Abstract >>
The paper presents the results of research aimed at improving career management objects in the residential real estate market. One of the most important aspects of improvement is an informational support of this process. In addition to marketing information, which is collected within the local market, information can be obtained by comparing their own activities with organizations at the regional or international markets, as well as with the activities of the organization with other industry (benchmarking). Learning from the experience of foreign companies in the Office can greatly succeed on the residential real estate market. Given the opportunity, including embedded benchmarking in process of formation of marketing information system, which enables you to explore management in parallel with the promotion, resulting in management decisions are taken to adjust activities to advance. Also structural information is presented for the residential real estate market research, including market factors and communication environment with methods of research.
																								



19.
LEGISLATIVE INITIATIVES ABOUT CREATION OF UNIFORM INVESTIGATIVE DEPARTAMENT OF RUSSIA IN 1990-1993

V.O. Panteleev
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and management, Kamenskaya str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: единый следственный орган, вневедомственный следственный аппарат, Следственный комитет РСФСР, Следственный комитет Российской Федерации, проект закона В«О Следственном комитете РСФСРВ», uniform investigative department, non-departmental investigative apparatus, Investigative committee of RSFSR, Investigative committee of the Russian Federation, draft bill "About Investigative Committee of RSFSR"

Abstract >>
We considered a question of attempts to make in Russia non-departmental and uniform investigative department. On the basis of studying of the materials accumulated in the State archive of the Russian Federation we analysed draft bills 1991 and 1993 about creation of independent department - the Investigative committee which unites all investigative structure operating at that time. Besides, in article we made the short review by discussion about the draft bills.
																								



20.
DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS GRAIN PRODUCTS SUB NOVOSIBIRSK REGION

R.E. Mansurov
Institute of Economics, Management and Law, Moscow str., 42 , Kazan, 420111 , Russia
Keywords: состояние зернопродуктового подкомплекса, сельское хозяйство, зонирование посевов зерна, прогноз состояния АПК, status of grain products sub, agriculture, zoning grain crops, forecast for the agricultural sector

Abstract >>
The present study shows the current state of grain products sub Novosibirsk region, assessed the prospects of its development, taking into account the need to ensure food security in the region. As the object of research is the grain products sub Novosibirsk region. Mathematical methods are used, comparative analysis, and economic and statistical methods. The scientific novelty of the study is to examine the situation in the combined grain products sub region and the forecast of development until 2030. The practical application set forth in the recommendation will ensure food security for the region such an important category as a bakery and pasta. The main results obtained should be made the following points. Now the area produce enough grain for internal needs. And at the same time there is a lack of existing facilities for the processing of grain into flour in terms of ensuring the regulatory requirements of bread and pasta. And this situation is a threat to food security in the region. In the area required the introduction of new milling facilities that will ensure the production of flour at a level of normative consumption - 286.8 thousand tons per year and should be about 53.1 tons per hour. The work carried out to determine the zoning of the most preferred locations of potential refining capacity. The main criterion while performing optimization of transport costs for shipping grain from the fields for processing. As a result it has been allocated four primary zones. In the context of these zones were calculated recommended processing capacity of grain into flour as of now and in the run up to 2030.
																								



21.
DEVELOPMENT OF LOGISTICS OF RETAIL TRADE NETWORK IN CRISIS CONDITIONS

N.V. Skuzovatova
Orenburg State University, Victory Ave., 13, Orenburg, 460018, Russia
Keywords: кризисные условия, экономический кризис, логистика, логистическая система, розничная торговая сеть, economic crisis, crisis conditions, logistics, logistics system, retail trading network

Abstract >>
In the current climate of bailout is a significant reduction in traffic flow, reduced warehouse property construction projects, transport infrastructure, which has a negative impact on logistics system, and this, in turn, on the activities of retailers. Built logistics and placed correctly in its priorities, quality service and effective methods to reduce costs-the main components of effective work of retail trading networks. In connection with this research topic «Development of logistics of retail trade network in crisis conditions “is valid, and requires research. This article describes the conditions of economic instability caused by the deterioration of relations between Russia and the West, changes in external trade, which affected all sectors of the economy, including the retail trade, where there has been a trend of development of retail trade network. According to the results of the study, it was found that the economic crisis in Russia in 2014-2015, the important condition of survival for most retail trading network, becomes built logistics system. The main hypothesis of the study is that the network of trade enterprises logistics system depends on a number of factors: external (situation in economy and politics, etc.) and internal (business processes, personnel, organization, etc.). Base data is monitored. As a research method was used to systematize and adjusting new and earlier knowledge. The article deals with the various scientific and periodical publications, including different views on the concept of the logistics system, including the author’s position reflected the model of logistics system of retail outlets. Described the functioning of the sub-systems of logistics at various levels of Government. The same factors are affecting retail network businesses (RTAs), including the logistics system. Identifies conditions necessary for the development of ITS logistics systems, including: strengthening of economic relations with international partners, through negotiations, to find the most advantageous partners, effective resource management in supply chains, reducing logistics costs, improved transport and logistics infrastructure and other conditions. Identified emerging trends affecting the logistic system retailers and are priorities for the development of transport and logistics projects in the Russian Federation until 2030, the results of this research may be used in trade.
																								



22.
SOCIAL AND POLITICAL ACTIVITY OF STUDENTS OF A LARGE CITY (BASED ON THE MATERIALS OF THE RESEARCH)

O. Y. Tevlyukova, S. V. Rovbel, E. V. Naumova
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya Str., 56, Novosibirsk, 630099, Russia
Keywords: опрос, студенческая молодежь, социально-политическая активность, локальный и общенациональный патриотизм, survey, students, social and political activity, local and national patriotism

Abstract >>
In the article based on the materials of the empiric research made by Sociologic Centre of the department of social communications and sociology of management at NSUEM are considered the forms of participation of the students in the political and social life of a city and the factors having influence on their social activity. These researches let one conclude that the level of social and political activity of students is average, the level of patriotism is very high and that the students are ready to link their lives with Novosibirsk after the end of studies. There are also determined the obstacles for active participation of students in the social and political activity.
																								



23.
DEVELOPMENT OF DYNAMIC PROTOTYPE OF THE SYSTEM OF INFORMATION AND TECHNICAL SUPPORT OF EDUCATIONAL AND METHODICAL PROCESSES

L.K. Bobrov, K.Yu. Sukhorukov
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: axure, динамический прототип, дополнительное образование, инструменты прототипирования, информационно-техническая поддержки учебно-методических процессов, минимизация затрат на поддержку прототипа, dynamic prototype, further education, prototyping tools, information and technical support of educational and methodical processes, minimization of the cost of keeping the prototype up to date

Abstract >>
The article presents the functional characteristics of the system of information and technical support of teaching processes in the field of further education. The necessity to develop a dynamic prototype of a system in a multi-language project is emphasized, paying attention to the geographical distribution of its members. Software selection criteria for prototyping are defined. Basis on the criteria a comparative analysis of prototyping tools is carried out. The choice in favor of a software Axure RP Pro is explained. The process of creating the system prototype and generation of technical documentation with the selected software is described in details. Key points that allow you to minimize the cost of keeping the prototype up to date are emphasized.
																								



24.
IT MODEL FORECASTING TOOLS TRAINING FOR HIGH-TECH COMPANIES IN THE REGIONAL ECONOMY REINDUSTRIALIZATION

E.I. Sagalakov, V.I. Solovyov
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: модель, системный подход, ИТ-модель, Web-площадка, прогнозирование, ВУЗ, достоверность, стратегия, региональная экономика, высокотехнологичные предприятия, совокупный спрос и предложение, инновации, проблемно- ориентированная подготовка, рынок, model, system approach, the IT model, Web-pad, forecasting, university, reliability, strategy, regional economy, high-tech enterprises, the aggregate supply and demand, innovation, problem-oriented training market

Abstract >>
The article presents a systematic approach to the management of forecasting the educational process in the field of higher education, which determines the activity of the university as a system of interrelated processes. A model of the IT monitoring supply and demand in the labor market for the high-tech enterprises and predicting the structure of training, given the pace of technological change in the world market and the strategy of socio-economic development of the Novosibirsk region. Developing an information system of scientific forecasting how IT model - is an electronic Web-site for interaction between local authorities, businesses, the state and the person, the higher and secondary vocational institutions. A systematic approach to the formation of human resources in the innovation economy requires innovative multistage interconnected software and design procedures in higher segment and in the real economy. This method makes it possible, firstly, to identify promising areas of training for students (in terms of nomenclature) in higher education and as a consequence provide jobs for graduates, secondly, to balance the volume of training of specialists (in the context of professions, specialties and number) allocating the necessary amount of budget places. All necessary information will be available to stakeholders on the site.
																								



25.
METHODS OF MACHINE LEARNING TO PREDICT THE SPREAD OF THE INFECTION IN THE NETWORK

P.A. Sulimov
Central Bank of the Russian Federation, Neglinnaya str., 12 , Moscow , 107016 , Russia
Keywords: социальная сеть, модель заражения, link prediction problem, random forest, the social network model of infection, link prediction problem, random forest

Abstract >>
The launch of Facebook in 2004 gave rise to research of the question, how people interact with each other within a social network. Since then more than 10 years passed, and many thematic social networks appeared: Twitter, Instagram, LinkedIn, Flickr etc. People exchange any information (photos, links, contacts etc.) in all listed social networks. Information is some kind of virus which is transferred from person to person. Respectively, the author considers distribution of information in a social network from the point of view of model of infection (epidemics in social network). The paper sets the goal of epidemic threshold prediction (threshold characteristic of a network, above which the network is surely completely infected) in the time point t+1 on the basis of historical data for the periods of t, t-1 and earlier. For the solution of the set goal it is necessary to know how the network will behave in the t+1 time point, whether the network graph is connected, what links will be broken and what will appear etc. All of the above define the speed of spread of an infection in networks and epidemic threshold. Respectively, the Link Prediction Problem emerges, which is solved by methods of machine training (Random Forest, Support Vector Machines) by referring pairs of nodes to classes connected and not connected, and predictions of class of pair of nodes in the t+1 time point on the basis of topological and factorial characteristics of knots of network. Thus, the algorithm of forecasting of spread of infection in a social network by means of methods of machine training is the result of the research.
																								



26.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE CLUSTERING PROCESS OF ECONOMY

K.A. Zaykov
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya Str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: инновационное развитие, кластер, кластеризация экономики, территориальный кластер, устойчивое развитие, cluster, clustering of the economy, innovative development, regional clusters, sustainable development

Abstract >>
Development of the regions of the Russian Federation today is characterized by «an innovative vector.» Popular destinations sustainable innovative development is the creation of territorial clusters. The problem is actively studied by international organizations, the executive authorities of the Russian Federation and the leading research centers of the country, which emphasizes its special importance and urgency. The main idea of the article is a statistical study of territorial clusters in the Russian Federation. A critical analysis of the theoretical aspects of the clustering of the economy, territorial clusters and cluster systems. Formulated theoretical apparatus research inventory map of concepts and existing approaches for the study of territorial clusters. Developed methodological apparatus statistical research territorial clusters in Russia. The proposed methodology was tested for the analysis of the currently existing clusters in the Russian Federation.
																								



27.
METHODOLOGY FOR INTEGRAL EVALUATION OF HUMAN DEVELOPMENT LEVEL AS EXEMPLIFIED BY THE LEADING COUNTRIES OF ASIA-PACIFIC REGION AND EUROPEAN UNION

N.V. Kuznetsova, E.V. Kocheva
Far Eastern Federal University, Sukhanova str., 8 , Vladivostok, 690950 , Russia
Keywords: Азиатско-Тихоокеанский регион, Европейский Союз, индекс человеческого развития, индекс развития человеческого потенциала, человеческий капитал, человеческий потенциал, Asia-Pacific Region, European Union, Human Development Index, Human Potential Development Index, Human Capital, Human Potential

Abstract >>
The article introduces methodology for integral evaluation of level of human development exemplified by the leading countries of Asia-Pacific Region an European Union. In addition, complex evaluation of human capital development is discussed as a two-side process: from one side, it is a formation of human abilities and skills, from the other side - realization of gained abilities and skills for the use of production or for recreation, cultural, political activity. Authors’ methodology of calculation of human development index is distinguishable from conventional methodology by at least one main principle: the authors believe that conducted experimental calculations might provide the most complete idea of human development from the point of view of three interconnected characteristics: human capital, human resources, and evaluation of conditions for formation and implementation of abilities and skills of a person.
																								



28.
ON THE ISSUE OF FORMATION THE UNIVERSAL METHOD OF PERFORMANCE APPRAISAL OF GENERAL EDUCATION SYSTEM

D.S. Lishko
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: общее образование, результат деятельности системы образования, статистическое наблюдение, универсальная методика, частный и сводный индексы, эффективность, efficiency, general education, individual and summary indices, performance of the education system, statistical observation, the universal method

Abstract >>
In this article the author describes the method of performance appraisal of general education system. Groups of indicators which determine the result and efficiency of the general education system are formed. The problems and difficulties are considers they arise when working with initial information, so this special place is given to the statistical observation. Testing of this method is on example of the Siberian Federal District in the context of administrative-territorial units. An adequacy and robustness of method are determined. In that way create an integrated system of indicators, which use to calculate the integral evaluations - result and efficiency indices. The typology of administrative-territorial districts within each region is based on the values of the indices. After that makes a comparison of the current situation (using the data of regional mass media or regional assessments of the state of the education system) with the results of the author’s methodology. This allows identifying the adequacy of the proposed methodology. Showing the main areas of application of the results of calculations by the given algorithm, and further development directions.
																								



29.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DIFFERENTIATION OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF MUNICIPALITIES

A.M. Bulkina
Novosibirsk State University Economics and Management, Kamenskaya str., 56 , Novosibirsk , 630099 , Russia
Keywords: интегральный показатель, конкурентоспособность территории, муниципальное образование, социально-экономическое развитие, субъекты Российской Федерации, уровень дифференциации, Federal subjects of Russia, integrated index, level of differentiation, municipalities, socio-economic development, territorial competitiveness

Abstract >>
Evaluation of differentiation of socio-economic development of municipalities by federal subjects of Russia may help provide an insight into social and economic conditions of the processes taking place in our country. Understanding heterogeneity of socio-economic development of municipalities offers policymakers a clearer idea of what policy initiatives work in a specific region. The paper presents the methodology to estimate the integral indicator of socio-economic development of the municipalities. This presented methodology integrates the characteristics conditions of both business communities and residents. The paper describes the methodology to estimate the level of differentiation of the municipalities. In addition the paper sets forth the main findings of statistical analysis of the differentiation of socio-economic development of municipalities based on presented methodology. The paper presets the map of Russian Federation that shows differentiation of socio-economic development of municipalities by Federal subjects of Russia.
																								



30.
FISCAL STIMULATION OF THE REGIONAL ECONOMY (EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON A SAMPLE OF SUBJECTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION)

D.V. Gubenko
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS, Academician Lavrentyev Ave., 17, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: бюджет, валовой региональный продукт, государственные расходы, региональное развитие, экономический рост, budget, economic growth, government expenditures, gross regional product, regional development

Abstract >>
The article presents an analysis of the impact of fiscal policy on the pace of socio-economic development of 76 subjects of the Russian Federation for the period from 2005 to 2012. It was revealed that the optimal structure of public expenditure and sources of their funding in a particular region depends on the characteristics of budget constraints caused by including a variety of conditions for regional development. The relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth is made up of many individual effects, which are difficult to decompose. Influence of some fiscal variables is interdependent. To obtain more accurate estimates we used the most disaggregated indicators of budget and tax statistics. Results of the study are of interest from the point of view of the development of regional policies. They can be taken also into account in the construction of methods for assessing the impact of fiscal policy on regional economic growth.