DEMOGRAPHIC SECURITY OF THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT REGIONS: ESTIMATION OF RISKS
S.V. Soboleva, N.E. Smirnova, O.V. Chudaeva
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of SB RAS, Academician Lavrentyev Ave., 17, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: воспроизводство населения, демографическая безопасность, депопуляция, индикаторы демографических угроз, интегральный показатель демографической безопасности список литературы, demographic security, depopulation, indicators of demographic threats, integral indicator of demographic security, population reproduction
Abstract
The article examines the methodological approach to the analysis of the demographic situation dynamics on several indicators for multiple territorial objects, allowing evaluating each territory according to the degree of the demographic situation tension in general. For this type of analysis several indicators of demographic threats has been selected, on which the dynamics for all regions of the Siberian Federal district (SFD) on the background of the all-Russian tendencies has been presented. The integral indicator of demographic security is also used (IIDS). Comparing the dynamics of IIDS for all subjects of the SFD three groups of regions in terms of demographic security in 1990-2013 are selected. It is shown that almost all regions with low demographic security are border territories of the Russian Federation, having the state borders with Kazakhstan, Mongolia and China.
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