Home – Home – Jornals – Scientific journal “Vestnik NSUEM” 2015 number 4

In the conditions of limitation of investment possibilities there is actual a studying of competitiveness of kinds of economic activities which represents one of the major components of research of relations on a labour market, and also serves as an important reference point for formation of economic policy of region and strategy of business communities. In article authors formulate a technique of an estimation of supply and demand in employment sphere by the economic activities kinds, based on регрессионных models under the panel data, allowed to reveal not only influence of explaining variables on number of the occupied population but also to consider time effects. Such approach allows to define, at what level the factors defining dynamics of structure of employment of region by kinds of economic activities, and, hence, are concentrated the operating influences interfering destructive changes should be concentrated to what level. Approbation of the offered technique has been spent on an example of Republic of Mary El that has allowed to define directions of development of economy of region and to formulate likelihood scenarios of economic development for kinds of activity of various level of competitiveness. Advantage of the offered approach consists in its universality and applicability to an estimation of dynamics and structure of various social and economic indexes and their structures.