ASSESSING CLIMATIC RISKS FOR THE PURPOSE OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SIBERIAN REGION
E.A. KOCHUGOVA1,2
1V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, 664033, Irkutsk, ul. Ulan-Batorskaya, 1, Russia
kochugovae@mail.ru
2Irkutsk State University, 664003, Irkutsk, ul. Karla Marksa, 1, Russia
Keywords: climatic vulnerability, Krasnoyarsk krai, nonferrous metallurgy, natural and climatic risks, climate change, adaptation
Abstract
Climatic risks are recognized as the most significant according to the probability of occurrence and the expected size of damage. An assessment is made of the climatic vulnerability of Krasnoyarsk krai. The analysis of the spatial distribution of the climatic vulnerability index as made by using 20 meteorological stations as an example, located within 52 ° to 71 ° N and 84 ° to 103 ° E. A comparative assessment is made of changes in climatic conditions for the periods 1965-1979 and 2005-2019. The center of the largest climatic vulnerability was revealed in the northeastern part of Krasnoyarsk krai. The contribution from dif ferent meteorological factors to the climatic vulnerability was determined. On the whole for the period 2005-2019 the contribu tion from air temperature increased by 10 % against the period 1965-1979, and the role of wind in the climatic vulnerability formation decreased.
|
