SOCIO-GEOGRAPHICAL SCENARIOS OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE BRANCHES OF SPECIALIZATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE OF THE BAIKAL REGION: CARTOGRAPHIC APPROACH
T.I. ZABORTSEVA, M.A. GRIGORYEVA, I.A. DETS, N.A. IPPOLITOVA, N.V. ROGOVSKAYA, P.V. ROGOV
V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, 664033, Irkutsk, ul. Ulan-Batorskaya, 1, Russia
zabti@irigs.irk.ru
Keywords: Baikal region, economic specialization, mapping, investments, forecast of development
Abstract
The present status of the economic complex and the foreseeable future are illustrated by the example of the resource-oriented Baikal region in the composition of its three federal subjects (Irkutsk oblast, Republic of Buryatia and Zabaikalskii krai). An assessment is made of the results on the status and possible development of the economic complex on the basis of analyzing a number of basic thematic maps that were compiled. The probable forecast of the development of the territory with due regard for the dynamics of investments, results of activity of big business, the construction industry, the socio-ecological infrastructure, and monitoring of the behavior of labor resources does not permit this scenario to be profiled as favorable. The process of influence of investments on territorial development is considered in detail. One of the previously drawn conclusions with respect to the territory of resource specialization is confirmed: a high indicator of mean per-capita investments is not necessarily accompanied by an increase in the population size and by an improvement of the ecological-social infrastructure.
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