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Region: Economics and Sociology

2023 year, number 1

SPATIAL MOBILITY BY RAIL OF THE RUSSIAN POPULATION

A.A. Bychkova
Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ekaterinburg, Russia
Keywords: rail transport, human migration, internal migration, regional development, infrastructure, interregional migration, transport accessibility

Abstract

The article deals with the social and economic factors of migrations by rail across Russia. It uncovers the main reasons for human migration in the regions from and to which citizens change their place of residence. The aim of the research is to determine the factors influencing the migration flows in the spatial relationship between regions, considering the density of railroad infrastructure. The objectives are to study and identify statistically significant indicators that characterize relocation factors. For the study, we use statistical data on migration in 78 regions with the presence of rail transport and address population resettlement across the country (interregional gain/loss, thous. ppl.). Interregional migration flows are being studied more extensively each year due to their increasing relevance, which results from changes in the overall composition of the population, and the loss of citizens caused by the shifting geopolitical situation. The article notes the authors dealing with the issues of resettlement and exploring population mobility patterns by different socio-economic influences involving regional transport. We analyze factors of influence on resettlement with the least squares method. Several indicators are determined as statistically significant, while "outliers", i.e., data reflecting factors without impact on population flows, are preliminarily excluded. As a result, the article gives a cartographic representation of internal human migration. Visualizing the results of the study on regional resettlement by railroads makes it possible to identify significant migration factors that affect transport routing. The data obtained in the study of migration flows can be used by transport companies to inform decisions in planning regional development across the Russian Federation.