ON THE METHODOLOGY OF SOCIAL PROGNOSIS
M. S. Kalnei
Keywords: social regularity, social and historical prognosis, social trends, social system, historism, historicism, the sense of history, the unity of history, methodology, social engineering
Pages: 61-69
Abstract
The understanding of social regularity is essential for the understanding of the place of humans in the Universe. The transformations of the social system set the question of the social trends estimation. In order to estimate the social trends we need to understand the meaning of history. One of the main problems is the problem of historicism. The historicist approach is often connected with tyranny. On the other hand, considering the unity of history is essential for the understanding the meaning of human being. Society needs to find a satisfactory methodology of social prognosis. Such a methodology is essential for efficient social engineering. Thus, the study of social and historical prognosis is essential for the formation of intelligent mind. The author analyzes the principles of historical prognosis.
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