METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE APPROACH TO FORECASTING THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF FORMING THE REGIONAL ECONOMY
O.P. Burmatova1,2
1Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia
2Novosibirsk National Research State University
Keywords: territorial eco-economic systems, environmental challenges, sustainable development, eco-economic interactions in the region, environmental protection activities, regional environmental strategy
Abstract
We consider the environment of a specific territory as a regulatable entity, necessitating the formulation of a tailored set of methods and measures for predicting and controlling eco-economic interactions within the region. This approach is vital for steering the region towards sustainable development. Our article focuses on laying out the conceptual foundation for forecasting the environmental implications associated with developing a regional economy amidst contemporary environmental challenges. Given the inherent long-term nature of addressing environmental issues and their intricate connection with the economic and social characteristics of regions, we recognize the need for an environmental protection strategy. This strategy, and the search for effective implementation methods, constitute a crucial aspect of regional studies. Our research methodology hinges on the ideology of strategizing and programming concerning both ecological and economic development for the region. The sustainability of territorial economic systems strongly correlates with the quality of the management system, primarily influenced by environmental policy. Our proposed approach to forecasting the environmental consequences of regional economic development outlines four key research stages. Each is designed to yield specific outcomes, facilitating a systematic analysis of the root causes of environmental challenges within a particular territory. This includes accounting for potential negative consequences and identifying tools for resolution. By introducing these conceptual frameworks for forecasting regional environmental protection activities, our research enables a comprehensive assessment of the environmental landscape. This, in turn, supports more well-informed management decisions in the environmental domain.
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