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Philosophy of Sciences

2022 year, number 3

STATES OF UNCERTAINTY AS THE EFFECTS OF PREDICTIVE CODING

Anastasia Valerievna Golubinskaya
Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod, 7, Universitetskiy la., Nizhni Novgorod, 603022, Russia
Keywords: predictive coding, predictive processing, predictive models, uncertainty, epistemic difficulties, predictive difficulties

Abstract

The article considers the typology of uncertainty as a state that a subject of predictive coding theory may experience. According to this theory, interaction with the external environment is mediated by neural filters that “remove” predictable signals and allow the cognitive system to focus on the difference between the expected and the actual. We propose a logical structure of predicative mechanisms and reveal two specific types of uncertainties arising at different stages of the work of these mechanisms (uncertainty of the possible and uncertainty of the expected), as well as several intraspecific types. We show that the theory has a heuristic potential for a wide range of research on human cognitive processes, especially in the context of modern socio-philosophical concepts of “turbulence” and unpredictability.