DIRECTIONS FOR IMPROVING METHODOLOGICAL RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ELABORATION OF STRATEGIES FOR SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF MUNICIPALITIES OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
G. V. Zhdan1, T. V. Sumskaya1,2
1Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation
2Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation
Keywords: improvement of methodological recommendations, strategy of socio-economic development of the municipality, scenario conditions, development forecast for the city of Berdsk, inertial development scenario, innovative development scenario
Abstract
The article analyzes the current methodological recommendations for the development of strategies for the socio-economic development of municipalities in the Russian Federation, and suggests ways to improve the methodological recommendations. The conditionality of the scenario conditions of development by the conducted strategic analysis of external and internal factors of development is shown. The relationship is reflected on the example of scenario conditions for the development of the municipality - the city of Berdsk, Novosibirsk Region. It is shown that the use of models for forecasting calculations ensures the balance of the forecast values of the main indicators of the development of the municipality. It is noted that the forecast of cost indicators is rarely correct due to the poor predictability of inflationary processes. Structural indicators are more stable. It is these indicators that should be recommended as the main ones for the strategies of socio-economic development of territories.
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