RAILWAYS OF EUROPEAN AND ASIAN RUSSIA: ORGANIZATIONAL DESIGN AS A STRATEGIC ELEMENT OF A DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM
E.B. Kibalov1, S.A. Bykadorov2, D.D. Shibikin2
1Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia
2Siberian Transport University, Novosibirsk, Russia
Keywords: global context, Siberia, the Far East, dual-purpose railways, Russian Railways, organizational design, proto-variants, variants, computer products, system analysis, uncertainty
Abstract
The article analyzes the problem of European and Asian Russia railways development as a dual-use system: 1) as a basic element in the economic development of Siberian and Far Eastern territories, still having focal development, and 2) as military-strategic communications in case the collective West attempts to shift from the “cold" to the “hot war" methods against Russia, specifically in the Arctic regions therein and the adjacent waters of the Arctic and Pacific oceans. Our objects of analysis are options for the organizational design of the country’s railroad transportation, which arise from the choice of a large-scale project as an implementation priority in macroregions east of the Urals. A group of experts evaluates these options at a pre-investment feasibility stage, supported by a specially designed software system. The proposed apparatus for assessing and selecting the most preferable organizational design in the long term has been tested for efficiency and adaptability to the existing practice of making complex investment decisions at the macrolevel under uncertainty.
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