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Russian Geology and Geophysics

2021 year, number 5

ASSESSMENT OF THE INITIAL, PROMISING, AND PREDICTED GEOLOGIC AND RECOVERABLE OIL RESOURCES OF THE WEST SIBERIAN PETROLEUM PROVINCE AND THEIR STRUCTURE

A.E. Kontorovich1,2, V.R. Livshits1,3, L.M. Burshtein1, A.R. Kurchikov1,2
1Trofimuk Institute of Petroleum Geology and Geophysics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, pr. Akademika Koptyuga 3, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
2Tyumen State Petroleum University, ul. Volodarskogo 38, Tyumen, 625000, Russia
3Novosibirsk State University, ul. Pirogova 1, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: Petroleum provinces, oil resources and reserves, truncated Pareto distribution, exploration filter, prediction of the structure of geologic and recoverable resources

Abstract

The structure of the initial and predicted oil resources of the West Siberian petroleum province is quantitatively assessed. The assessment is based on the law of mass distribution of hydrocarbon accumulations, i.e., the truncated Pareto distribution and simulation modeling of the general set of oil fields. This approach makes it possible to estimate the amount of oil and the total oil resources concentrated in intervals of any size, in particular, in intervals of small and fine fields, in order to determine the economic efficiency of their development. The considered estimates do not apply to unconventional resources, such as the shale oil of the Bazhenov Formation.