FORECASTING A LONG-TERM STRATEGY FOR SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE REPUBLIC OF TYVA BASED ON THE INTERVAL INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL
Aydis Pavlovna Temir-ool
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia
Keywords: межотраслевой баланс, неопределенность, интервальные методы, линейная задача о допусках, метод распознающего функционала множества решений, региональная экономика, input-output balance, uncertainty, interval methods, linear tolerance problem, method of the recognizing functional of a solution set, regional economy
Abstract
The article presents the results of practical application of interval methods under the uncertainty of a direct production costs matrix in the regional input-output model. It presents the complete technological chain for solving a linear tolerance problem with the Shary’s method, which uses the recognizing functional of a solution set, as exemplified by an interval input-output model for the Republic of Tyva. In the text, we obtain a long-term sectoral forecast of the socio-economic development in the Republic of Tyva till 2035 based on the regional interval input-output model.
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