Principal Trends and Scenarios of Global Power Industry Development
L. V. Kalimullin
The University of Management TISBI, Kazan
Keywords: развитие, прогноз, сценарии, технологии, энергетические компании, возобновляемые источники энергии, накопители энергии, development, forecast, scenarios, technologies, energy companies, renewable energy sources, energy storage
Abstract
This article reviews development trends of global and Russian electric power industry. Among the principal trends there are energy security, shifts of market product structure, emergence of new technologies and equipment and establishment of international standards. Three road maps of industry development are considered: conservative, optimistic and that of advanced technology. The scenarios make reference to progressive evolutionary industry development and leading-edge engineering growth with faster growth of new technologies, innovative solutions and infrastructure risks reduction. Power energy evolution can be described by an increasing role of engineering competences, renewable energy, smart grid innovative solutions and energy storage systems. These factors, along with other technological solutions that change basic operation characteristics of the energy system, will bring about a new power system architecture and economy.
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