GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGES AS A RISK FACTOR FOR RUSSIAN ECONOMY: METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES
D.A. Ruban1, K.I. Serpova1, N.N. Yashalova2, V.S. Vasiltsov2, E.N. Yakovleva2
1Southern Federal University, Bolshaya Sadovaya Str. 105/42, Rostov-on-Don, Rostov Region, Russia, 344006
2Cherepovets State University, Lunacharskogo Ave., 5, Cherepovets, Vologda region, Russia, 162600
Keywords: адаптация, климатический риск, пространственная дифференциация, сравнительный анализ, федеральные округа, adaptation, climate risk, spatial differentiation, comparative analysis, federal districts
Abstract
Significant climate changes caused by global processes are forecasted in the territory of Russia. In this regard the actual topic is consideration of the respective risks, which may be related not only to direct negative action of this factor but also adaptation to it and inaccurate forecasts. The offered procedure for the estimation of climate risks for Russian economy shows that they are relatively small or moderate, reaching peak levels in the Central and Siberian federal districts. When using information about risks in strategic planning, it’s important to keep in mind that often they are defined not by the intensity of the expected climate changes but the state of the territorial economic systems.
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