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Region: Economics and Sociology

2017 year, number 1

Problems of Environmental Pollution in Russian Regions

T.O. TAGAEVA1,2, L.K. KAZANTSEVA1, YU.O. TSVELODUB2
1Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ac. Lavrentiev av., 17, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
2Novosibirsk National Research State University, Pirogov st., 2, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: экологическая ситуация, загрязнение окружающей природной среды, динамическая межотраслевая модель с экологическим блоком, экологический прогноз, государственная природоохранная политика, ecological situation, environmental pollution, dynamic input-output model with an ecological module, ecological forecast, government environmental protection policy

Abstract

The paper analyzes the contemporary ecological situation in Russia, characterized as steadily negative. It presents a forecast of the environmental load for the period 2016-2020 obtained using the dynamic input-output model with an ecological module. We consider two Russian economic development scenarios: one was designed at the Institute of Economic Forecasting, RAS, the other at the Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, SB RAS. According to the forecast for both scenarios, the environmental load will further increase. We estimate the necessary size of ecological taxes for negative impacts on the environment and provide a rationale for some ways of improving the government environmental policy.