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Avtometriya

2014 year, number 4

STUDYING THE METHOD OF ADAPTIVE PREDICTION OF FOREST FIRE EVOLUTION ON THE BASIS OF RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS

V. I. Kozik, E. S. Nezhevenko, A. S. Feoktistov
Institute of Automation and Electrometry, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, pr. Akademika Koptyuga 1, Novosibirsk, 630090 Russia
Keywords: computer simulation, forest fire, recurrent neural network, data assimilation, learning, Kalman filter

Abstract

A software system is presented for implementation of a fire model on the basis of a recurrent neural network, which ensures real-time simulation of fire evolution. The quality of traditional learning and learning based on the Kalman filter in experiments performed with the neural network is compared. It is demonstrated that the fire overcomes obstacles in the form of regions consisting of incombustible materials owing to the global character of connections of the neural network simulating the fire.