Model of the Dynamics of Bird Population for Floodplain Ecosystem Monitoring (for the Middle Reach of the Ob as Example) Communication 2
V. P. Bolotnov, A. M. Adam
Keywords: bird community, the middle Ob floodplain, basic model, imitation modeling - effect of hydroregime
Pages: 781-788
Abstract
Model of the dynаmics of bird population in the floodplain of the river was developed for the purpose of establishing monitoring of floodplain ecosystems. The model is based on the principles of system dynamics formulated by D. Forrester. Long-term observations (1977-2000) during spring and summer in the floodplain of the middle Ob in the Kolpashevo district of the Tomsk Region were used for this purpose, which allowed us to improve the structure of the model. The model was realized with the help of MATLAB 5.2.1 package. Modeling confirmed the hypothesis that the hydrological regime is the main factor determining the dynamics and structure of bird population in the floodplain of the middle Ob.
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