Home – Home – Jornals – Contemporary Problems of Ecology 2002 number 4

Possibilities of using bioclimatic models of zonal classes of Siberian ecosystems for the forecast of forest cover transformations in large-scale changes of climate are considered. For construction of models, the data of the network of meteorological stations  and respective zonal testing grounds were used. As the climate changes, so do their climatic coordinates, which entails a corresponding transformation of the ecosystems.  Based on this assumption is the possibility of a point-by-point prediction of potential states of terrestrial ecosystems  at any preset script of climatic changes. The advantages and limitations of empirical point-by-point models for forecast purposes are discussed.