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Humanitarian sciences in Siberia

2004 year, number 3

Conceptual reasons of scenario analysis of ethnosocial development.

Popkov, U.V. Tiugashev, E.L.
The institute of philosophy and law SB RAS
Pages: 63-66


The authors carry out an explication of notion "scenario" in the context of its distinguishing with notions "model", "tendency", "variant of development", "prognostication", "programme". They show that systematization of the massif of basic archetypes of culture , which form in total the social and cultural code of ethnosocial community, is the starting point of scenario analysis.