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Russian Geology and Geophysics

2018 year, number Неопубликованное

Monitoring THE STATUS OF Kamchatka Peninsula VOLCANOES (Russia) Using the Statistical Estimation of Seismicity Level Methodology

V.A. Saltykov, A.A. Shakirova

Kamchatka Branch of the Geophysical Survey of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia


Keywords: Seismicity level, SESL'09 method, Kamchatka, volcanic activation, eruption

Abstract

This paper describes a system for monitoring seismicity in specific volcanic areas of Kamchatka (Russia, Kamchatka Peninsula) based on estimates of the seismicity level according to the SESL’09 (Statistical Estimation of Seismicity Level) methodology. The application of the SESL’09 method to studying the preparation of volcanic activations is a promising approach for monitoring volcano state. We present the results of identifying seismically active source volumes for 10 active Kamchatka volcanoes. Nomograms were constructed for these volumes, allowing for the estimation of the seismicity level for any given time interval based on the seismic energy released within it. Examples of variations in the seismicity level of the volcanic areas, which are associated with the preparation for an eruption, are provided and support this conclusion.