COMPETITIVENESS OF PRO-RUSSIAN TRANSPORT CORRIDORS UNDER CHINA’S «ONE BELT - ONE ROAD» INITIATIVE
Dinara T. Fakhretdinova1,2, Olga V. Tarasova1,2
1Novosibirsk National University, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation
2Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation
Keywords: «One belt - One road», transport corridors, cargo transportation, transport model, tariffs, road carrying capacity
Abstract
The Belt and Road Initiative is a large - scale project aimed at developing international economic integration and modernizing transport routes. The authors conducted a cluster analysis of 4,788 articles discussing the initiative using the VOSviewer program. The research examined Russia’s potential participation in the project, the prospects for realizing its transit potential, and the competition with alternative Eurasian freight routes. Using the PROSTOR transport model, a transport network was built, comprising 16 nodes and 21 links, forming four distinct routes from China to Europe via Russian territory and waters, as well as two alternative routes. Scenario analysis of traffic flows identified the conditions under which pro-Russian routes become the most preferable for shippers. The research results can be useful for developing state transport and foreign economic policy, for logistics operators servicing Asia-Europe routes, as well as for investors in the transport sector.
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