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Geography and natural resources

2016 year, number 5S

POPULATION DISTRIBUTION AND DYNAMICS IN THE CENTRAL ECOLOGICAL ZONE OF THE BAIKAL NATURAL TERRITORY

N. V. VOROBYEV1, N. V. EMELYANOVA2, A. N. VOROBYEV1, O. V. VALEEVA1
1V. B. Sochava Institute of Geography SB RAS, 664033, Irkutsk, Ulan-Batorskaya str., 1, Russia
vorobyev@irigs.irk.ru
2Irkutsk Scientific Center SB RAS, 664033, Irkutsk, Lermontova str., 134, Russia
personata@rambler.ru
Keywords: населенные пункты, миграция, демографические процессы, человеческий потенциал, муни ци паль ные образования, Прибайкалье, settlements, migration, demographic processes, human potential, municipal formations, Cisbaikalia

Abstract

We examine the scientific problem of studying the interrelationships of population distribution and dynamics and develop ment of the human potential in Cisbaikalia in conditions of the central ecological zone of the Baikal natural territory. The inter relationships of territorial and functional development of local systems of population distribution are determined. Territorial tendencies and problems of population distribution and demographic development of Cisbaikalia are revealed by using a statisti cal and a cartographic method. The characteristics of the natural and migration movements of the population are compared in the spatiotemporal context. The population dynamics has been calculated displayed cartographically at the level of municipal formations for 2010-2016. The technique, developed by these authors, was used in calculating the Human Development Index both componentwise (education, health, and per capita income) and integrally. An assessment is made of the current human potential of municipal formations in Cisbaikalia as a crucial factor of territorial development. We determined the main tenden cies and problems of changes in the demographic situation on the study territory which imply a decrease in the population size due to the migration outflow beyond the region, and to the gradual ageing of the population.