Reliability Assessment of Cross-Sector Model Diagnostics in the Case of Mining and Energy Complex after the Emergency Situation
S. Vujic, S. Maksimovic, M. Radosavljevic, P. Stjepanovic
Mining Institute of Belgrade, Beograd, Serbia
Keywords: Intersectorial modeling, reliability, diagnosis, mining and energy complex, emergency situation
Abstract
In mid-May 2014, heavy rainfall caused unprecedented floods in Serbia. Kolubara Mining Basin, the greatest coal producer in the Electric Power Industry of Serbia, has suffered enormous material damage. Coal production at four open-pit mines was suspended and the operation of four thermal power plants was threatened. The consequences of the uncontrollable water, physically visible on open-pit coal mines, were felt in all system sectors. Intersectorial analysis was used to view and diagnose the situation of the system’s production sectors. The paper gives the summaries of uncontrollable water, mining and energy system structure, the implementation of the intersectorial model in the analysis, comments on the analysis results, evaluation, and a conclusion from the aspect of efficiency and reliability of application in solving practical problems.
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