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Scientific journal “Vestnik NSUEM”

2014 year, number 4

ON THE ISSUE OF DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC POTENTIAL OF NOVOSIBIRSK REGION IN 2002–2010

L.P. Kharchenko
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamensky st., 56, Novosibirsk, Novosibirsk Region, 630099
Keywords: demographic (biotic) potential, life expectancy, labor and reproduction structure of demographic potential

Abstract

The article presents the results of the analysis of dynamics of demographic potential of Novosibirsk region in 2002–2010. The value of demographic potential is defined; specifics of its labor and reproduction structure are examined. Factor analysis of demographic potential is carried out; impact of increase of life expectancy of population and changes in population size and composition by gender and age on its increment is revealed. Recommendations for various target groups (regulatory bodies of various levels, employers, health care system, mass media) are made to provide and maintain sustained growth of biotic potential of the region.