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Contemporary Problems of Ecology

2003 year, number 6

Redistribution of Vegetation Zones and Populations of Larix sibirica Ledeb. and Pinus sylvestris L. in Central Siberia in a Warming Climate

N. M. TCHEBAKOVA, G. REHFELDT, E. I. PARFENOVA
Pages: 677–686

Abstract

Changes in areal coverage of vegetation zones across Central Siberia and ofLarix sibirica Ledeb. and Pinus sylvestris L. climat types in southern Krasnoyarsk Territory and Tuva in a warming climate were estimated from bioclimatic models connecting the characteristics of vegetation with climate. Predictions by the models for the end of the century suggest a complete redistribution of both vegetation zones over plains and tablelands of Siberia, and climatypes of pine and larch over southern mountains and foothills. Northern vegetation types - tundra, forest-tundra and northern taiga, which are dominant in current climate, will be replaced by southern types such as the southern taiga and sub taiga, as well as forest-steppe and steppe, both of which do not currently exist north of 56