Home – Home – Jornals – Humanitarian sciences in Siberia 2003 number

Paradoxes of aggregation naturally arise both in the analysis of causal dependences by means of probability formalizations and during the solution of real practical tasks with the help of statistical methods. It is argued that all known approaches to the analysis of paradoxes are reduced to a (more or less strict) formulation of certain conditions which make the paradox impossible. From the pragmatic point of view, a more important task is the methodology of decision-making when the paradox obtains. The methodology of decision-making is based on the concept of paradox force introduced by the author. The methodology of effective decision-making is justified for situations with a robust reverse connection of homogeneity of data and the degree of realization of the paradox.