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ECO journal (ECOnomics and industrial Engineering)

2018 year, number 8

Is the Scientific and Technological Forecast of the Russian Federation Development the Real or Virtual Mechanism of Strategy Planning?

A. V. Alekseev
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS
Keywords: прогноз, стратегия, сценарии научно-технологического развития, глобальная экономика, рыночный механизм, институты, государственное регулирование, Forecast, strategy, scenario for scientific and technological development, global economy, market mechanism, institutions, state regulation

Abstract

The basic elements of working out the project referring the scientific and technological forecast of the Russian Federation development till 2030 have been considered in the article.The lack of project authors’ critical thinking towards the modern theories of the global economy is shown to cause misunderstanding the long- term Russia’s interests as well as the peculiarities of the challenges which the country faces nowadays that results in methodologically disputable basis of the forecast. The conclusion that targeting to the achievements of economic (tactical) aims in the scientific and technological activity leads to reducing the significance of the project as the mechanism of strategy planning has been proven. It is pointed out that stricterimplementation of the system approach principles in the analysis of the scientific and technological peculiarities in the branches of the national economy taken as the united complex could be the essential facility of increasing the project quality.