Economic Consequences of the Age Distribution of the Population of Russia under the Demographic Wave
A. L. Sinitsa
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Keywords: возрастная структура населения, экономическое развитие, демографическая волна, основные социально-экономические группы населения, демографический прогноз, Age distribution of population, economic development, demographic wave, main socio- economic groups of population, demographic forecast
Abstract
The change of the shares of the main socio-economic groups of the population adversely affects the economic development of the country. The purpose of the article is to investigate these changes in the conditions of the demographic wave. To do this the official statistics and the demographic forecast until 2050 are used. Figures show that the number and share of the working-age population will decrease, those of the elderly will increase, and those of children may both decline and increase. This will lead to a reduction in the number of employee and further increase of employment of the elderly, a very large demographic burden, a decline in living standards and a decline in the domestic market volume.
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