Positive Compromises in Constructing Interregional Input-Output Tools for Forecasting Economic Development
B.V. MELENT'EV
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 17, Ac. Lavrentiev av., Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Keywords: межотраслевые межрегиональные оптимизационные модели прогнозирования экономического развития, прогноз, финансы, interregional input-output optimization models for forecasting economic development, forecast, finance
Abstract
Based on extensive experience in modeling the economy of the regions and in experimental calculations for forecasting economic development, the article determines the real area of use of interregional input-output models and defines approaches to bring existing scientific instruments closer to the solutions of relevant applied problems. The current economic and mathematical models limit the possibilities of theoretical modeling but allow obtaining the forecasts that experts need at present. From experience gained, the latest modifications of interregional input-output tools provide forecasts for the economic development in material and financial composition, not only maintaining compliance with the classical principles of economic theory, but also fixing new provisions on the possible obtaining of numerical values of the national economic efficiency and agreeing them with the commercial efficiency of manufacturing industries.
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