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Philosophy of Sciences

2016 year, number 4

THE QUESTION ABOUT THE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE CONDITIONS AND RESULTS OF J.B. RHINE’S EXPERIMENTS

Vadim Evgen’evich Osipov
Omsk State Technical University, pr. Mira 11, 644050, Omsk
Keywords: статистический критерий, сериальный критерий Шахнесси, урновая модель, Райн, Боринг, statistical test, urn model, J.B.Rhine, P.W.Shaughnessy, DT Test, BT Test

Abstract

The question of the correctness of the choice of the statistical test, which J. B. Rhine did, is discussed in the article, in connection with the formation of test sequences and with the test procedures. Theoretical study of ways of test sequences generation, and statistical analysis of concrete test sequences that is taken from the protocol of the experiment of 1934, are made. Three ways of test sequences generation: 1) the method based on urn model, random drawings with replacement, 2) the method based on urn model, random drawings without replacement, 3) the method applied by J. B. Rhine, was considered in the article. It is found that the J. B. Rhine’s method provides the independent card extraction trials with uniform probability distribution. It is found that the probability of random guessing of Zener cards in the J. B. Rhine’s experiments depends upon test procedures type (BT 5, BT 25, DT). J. B. Rhine’s Extrasensory perception is examined and discussed with the object to statistical test use. It is found that the applicability of statistical test was chosen by J. B. Rhine, depends upon test procedures type.