Labor supply and economic activity reserves of the Irkutsk oblast population
M.K. KIRILLOVA
Institute for Social Analysis and Prediction, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Prechistenskaya emb., 11, Moscow, 119034, Russia
Keywords: Иркутская область, рынок труда, экономическая активность населения, безработица, трудовые ресурсы, трудовая миграция, Irkutsk Oblast, labor market, economic activity of the population, unemployment, labor force, labor migration
Abstract
The paper considers the dynamics of spatial redistribution of labor resources in Irkutsk Oblast, characteristics of labor supply and possible reserves of economic activity. The choice of this region derived from the fact that Irkutsk Oblast concentrates problems typical of many regions of Siberia and the Far East (high dispersion of settlement, migration outflow and relatively high unemployment). We show how migration affects the age structure of the region population and give the characteristics of jobs and employment by type of settlements, as well as the features of unemployment. Data collected in sociological studies show that, starting from the age of 45, the share of employment monotonically decreases while the proportion of people who do not want to work increases. At the same time, there exists a strong group ofpotential labor-force participants (age group of 61 to 63 years) who would like to work. An analysis of labor force participation at older ages captures differences in the levels of participation by types of settlements. As factors limiting the participation, we consider job characteristics, the prevalence of labor commuting and rotation-based work, and weak demand in the labor market. The article outlines the assumptions about reserves of economic activity in the region and the conditions for their utilization.
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