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Scientific journal Vestnik NSUEM

2014 year, number 3

FORESIGHT: FROM FORECAST TO SOCIAL ENGINEERING

S.A. Smirnov
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management, Kamensky str., 56, Novosibirsk, Novosibirsk Region, 630099
smirnoff1955@yandex.ru
Keywords: foresight, wild cards and jokers, social engineering, forecast, development trends

Abstract

This article discusses how to conduct foresight type of social engineering. Introduces the distinction between Foresight as forecast and Foresight as social engineering. The practice of forecasting wild cards (jokers) - the so-called unpredictable, but the case of events that break the habitual and the predicted course of development. Introduced jokers idea of two classes: class, destructive trend, and class, creating a new trend.